Preseason Rankings
St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.4#307
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace60.5#344
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-7.5#340
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#193
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 4.6% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.4 15.6
.500 or above 26.6% 34.2% 13.7%
.500 or above in Conference 36.5% 42.5% 26.4%
Conference Champion 3.5% 4.5% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 17.4% 13.9% 23.2%
First Four1.5% 1.7% 1.0%
First Round2.8% 3.6% 1.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bryant (Home) - 62.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 411 - 1012 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2019 314   Bryant W 68-64 63%    
  Nov 16, 2019 36   @ Providence L 52-75 2%    
  Nov 20, 2019 331   Wagner W 61-55 70%    
  Nov 30, 2019 293   St. Francis Brooklyn W 64-62 58%    
  Dec 03, 2019 93   @ St. John's L 59-75 8%    
  Dec 11, 2019 252   Fairleigh Dickinson L 64-65 49%    
  Dec 18, 2019 73   @ Connecticut L 56-75 5%    
  Dec 22, 2019 210   @ LIU Brooklyn L 63-71 24%    
  Dec 28, 2019 245   @ Hampton L 65-72 28%    
  Jan 03, 2020 161   @ Iona L 64-75 17%    
  Jan 05, 2020 328   Marist W 63-58 67%    
  Jan 09, 2020 251   @ Siena L 54-60 30%    
  Jan 12, 2020 295   Canisius W 65-63 57%    
  Jan 15, 2020 288   @ Fairfield L 61-65 36%    
  Jan 18, 2020 256   @ Quinnipiac L 62-68 31%    
  Jan 24, 2020 180   @ Rider L 66-76 21%    
  Jan 26, 2020 315   Niagara W 70-66 62%    
  Jan 29, 2020 239   Monmouth L 62-63 47%    
  Jan 31, 2020 259   Manhattan W 56-55 50%    
  Feb 02, 2020 251   Siena L 56-57 49%    
  Feb 07, 2020 328   @ Marist L 60-61 47%    
  Feb 09, 2020 239   @ Monmouth L 59-66 28%    
  Feb 14, 2020 256   Quinnipiac L 65-66 50%    
  Feb 16, 2020 288   Fairfield W 64-62 55%    
  Feb 21, 2020 259   @ Manhattan L 53-59 32%    
  Feb 23, 2020 180   Rider L 69-73 38%    
  Feb 27, 2020 315   @ Niagara L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 29, 2020 295   @ Canisius L 62-66 38%    
  Mar 06, 2020 161   Iona L 67-72 33%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.7 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.2 2.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 6.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 2.8 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 7.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 3.2 3.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 8.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.6 3.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.2 3.8 1.1 0.1 0.0 11.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.2 4.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 11.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 2.6 4.2 3.6 1.0 0.1 12.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.1 4.0 2.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 12.2 10th
11th 0.4 1.3 2.5 3.4 2.7 1.4 0.4 0.0 12.0 11th
Total 0.4 1.3 2.7 4.6 6.3 8.2 9.3 10.5 10.5 9.6 9.1 7.7 6.3 4.8 3.6 2.6 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 96.5% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 80.6% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
16-4 67.8% 1.0    0.6 0.3 0.1
15-5 37.4% 1.0    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 14.2% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.5% 3.5 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 93.6% 93.6% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 51.8% 51.8% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.3% 52.9% 52.9% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.7% 27.0% 27.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-4 1.4% 28.2% 28.2% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.0
15-5 2.6% 20.1% 20.1% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 2.0
14-6 3.6% 14.9% 14.9% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 3.1
13-7 4.8% 7.2% 7.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 4.4
12-8 6.3% 7.5% 7.5% 15.9 0.1 0.4 5.9
11-9 7.7% 4.7% 4.7% 15.9 0.0 0.3 7.3
10-10 9.1% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.3 8.8
9-11 9.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.5
8-12 10.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 10.4
7-13 10.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.5
6-14 9.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.3
5-15 8.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.2
4-16 6.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.3
3-17 4.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.6
2-18 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.7
1-19 1.3% 1.3
0-20 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.2 96.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%